« Why Canít the Public Lose Its Economic Pessimism? | Main | Mainstream Media Shuns Impeachment Poll Results »

Is Bush on the Comeback Trail?

By Alan Abramowitz

In a news story today, the Times reports that "after months of political erosion, President Bush's approval rating improved markedly in the latest New York Times/CBS News Poll." Well, not really. Bush's approval rating increased from 35 percent in the Times' October poll to 40 percent in the current poll. The 35 percent approval rating in the October poll was somewhat below the average for all published polls during that time period while the 40 percent rating is close to the average of all polls conducted in the past month. Given the margin of sampling error of both polls (+/- 3 percent), there is a strong likelihood that President Bush's approval rating has not changed at all.