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NPR Survey Shows Kerry 50%, Bush 46%,

A Aug. 22-24 survey of registered voters conducted for NPR by Greenberg, Quinlan,Rosen and Public Opinion Strategies found John Kerry Leading George W. Bush 50% to 45% in a two man race and Kerry 47%, Bush 43% and Nader 3% in a three way match-up.

Comments

So you can choose your poll: Gallup and others have Bush ahead, Zogby and NPR have Kerry ahead. Who knows what it all means, except that we (Dems) have to keep working and donating money to the cause right up to election day.

It means that when you overcount Republicans and undercount Democrats, Republican candidates usually come out ahead.

Call me crazy, but we're going to win this thing.

John Kerry said the same thing on Chris Matthews show a while back. He said "Chris, I am going to win this thing"!

It looks like Bush is softening his stance on everything... he agrees that he was involved in that smear campaign, he agrees that Kerry is a hero and served honorably, he says that the war on terror cant be won anymore.

Are we talking a flip-flopper here? Are we seeing a president who has become soft on the under belly? Are we looking at someone who has shifted position on his base and expects them to follow? Is he now appealing to a different type of voter, moderates maybe? Where is he going with this softer Bush approach?

Are we now being shown a compassionate Bush? No staying the course anymore? Maybe he turned the corner himself and left the economy behind.

I hope the DEMS realise that he is providing added fodder and fuel for direct attacks on his policies. He has literally opened a gaping hole on his presidency and left it there for issues to be put on the table and debated. There is even room to classify him as a flip-flopper because this new approach goes contrary to everything he has been preaching for the past four years.

Rise up Kerry supporter and DEMS... another golden opportunity is here.

Cheers

I wonder why I don't see or hear of any Demorcrats for Bush? But, I know of a whole bunch of Republicans for Kerry? I bet there are very few if any one that voted for Gore who are going to vote for Bush. The numbers are many who voted for Bush in 2000 and now are voteing for Kerry.

he said the war on terror can't be won? I missed that - we need to go after that bigtime - don't remember any Democrats saying the war on terror can't be won - we just said invading Iraq wouldn't contribute to it . . .

Scott.. this is a great moment for Kerry to talk on foreign policy.. great moment for him to talk about alliances to win this war on terror... its a beaming opportunity... I just hope these folks can ride this wave to the shore..

cheers

Ed, there are some Dems supporting Bush. Zell Miller, Ed Koch, Ron Silver come to mind. All together there's probably several dozen of them in the nation, and they've all been recruited to appear at the RNC.

All Kerry needs to say regarding the war on terror now that Bush says it cannot be won --- Bush is wrong! We not only can win the war on terror we WILL win the war on terror! I'm sorry the President feels we do not have the capacity to win this war, for the American people expect victory.

I happened by an online poll on the CNN website which had almost 500,000 responses! And the results were 58% Kerry, 40% Bush. At the very least this says that people who use the web regularly are overwhelmingly for Kerry. This also jibes with Kerry's margins on the East and West coasts. And it suggests that these national polls are heavily skewed to midwest states. Is that possible?

I vote in some of those on-line polls on CNN Wolf Blitzer and Lou Dobbs has one every day. They are always like 90% for the Liberal view. Cnn is not so Liberal but not as far to the Right as FOX. So it's hard to tell how true these polls are.

Ron Silver a dem? Are you kidding. He's been a right-winger for yhears.

Kaus, I didn't mean those turncoat politicians. I was talking about the average electorate. Ed.

It's easy for some of the Blitzer/Dobbs polls to be manipulated. Atrios is famous for "torturing" them by sending literally thousands of hits to their polls. However the polls on the main page draw a much larger audience, and I would think it's hard to 'freep' a poll with half a million responses. I still think it is likely that they simply reflect the blue state views. But the blue states probably account for more than 60% of the population. So that begs the question, how does a Gallup poll of 800 people break down demographically?

I would love to get more feedback on ED's question. Do any of you personally know of anyone who voted for Gore in 2000 and who will be voting for Bush in 2004? I do not know anyone. In addition, with all of the stories I have read over the past year, I have only heard of one person who voted for Gore and who will vote for Bush -- with literally dozens who voted for Bush who are undecided or who will definately vote for Kerry. Since this is a very unscientific sample, can anyone provide more data points?

Thanks,
Paul

Did the NPR survey include only NPR listeners? If so, it is perfectly irrelevant since these people are much more intelligent than average Americans.