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The Emerging Democratic Majority in Paperback!

DR is sitting here with a spanking new copy of the EDM paperback and it looks great. Plus it's got a new afterword on the 2002 election that, in all due modesty, is pretty darn good. So if you haven't bought the hardback yet (heck--even if you have!), trot right over to Amazon and plunk down your $10.40 (amazingly cheap!) for a copy of the paperback today. (Note that Amazon lists the book as "not yet released", but DR's sources assure him that the book will be available very soon.)

To entice you still further, here's the beginning of the afterword:

Afterword: “The Enemy is Coming”
John B. Judis and Ruy Teixeira

If the November 2002 elections had been held on September 10, 2001, the Democrats would have made impressive gains, increasing their one-seat edge in the Senate and probably winning back the House of Representatives. At the time, George W. Bush was seen as a weak and ineffective leader, who was most comfortable reading The Very Hungry Caterpillar to schoolchildren. His approval rating was at 51 percent, dangerously low for a president in his first nine months. In addition, the Clinton boom had given way to a pronounced economic slowdown. Combine these factors with popular support for Democratic positions on social security, health care costs, the environment, and the economy, and you had a recipe for a Republican disaster. But nothing of the kind occurred. In the wake of the September 11 terrorist attacks, Bush and the Republicans boosted their popularity and actually gained seats in both houses, narrowly winning back the Senate.

The GOP successes in November 2002 gave rise to new theories about a long-term Republican realignment. In the conservative Weekly Standard, Fred Barnes described an emerging 9/11 majority. “We are no longer an equally divided, 50-50 nation,” Barnes wrote. “America is now at least 51-49 Republican and right of center, more likely 52-48, maybe even 53-47. The terrorist attacks on September 11, 2001, created a new political era, and the midterm election on November 5 confirmed it.” Barnes was certainly right about the Republican tilt of the election, but not about the “new political era.” The November 2002 elections represented the temporary revival of the older conservative realignment of the 1980s. September 11 brought to the forefront national security issues on which Republicans have enjoyed an advantage since the election of 1980; and Bush’s sure-handed performance in the months that followed ensured that this advantage would accrue to him and the Republicans in November 2002. But this advantage will persist only as long as Americans feel under attack and also feel that the Republicans are best able to protect them from attack. The 2002 election did not begin a new era, but unexpectedly prolonged an older one.

Pretty interesting, huh? So order a copy today.

Comments

No, it's not very interesting. You're clinging to the EDM thesis like it's the last lifeboat off the Titanic.

Full Speed Ahead, Cap'n Teixeira! Democratic Party Iceberg dead ahead!

Ruy,

My feelings exactly. I think 9/11 simply extended the old Republican majority.

Matt, judge his thesis in 2010.

Ben P

OK, I'll judge it in 2010. See you then!

FYI, Amazon is projecting a Feb 15 ship date.
(I ordered 10 copies for some of my Dallas peers.)

Carter became the president in 1976 in a squeaker, despite and emerging republican majority, due to the public's lack of trust of Ford, wrongly associating him with Nixon's scandal.

Carter=Bush
Nixon=Clinton
Ford=Gore

Barnes is going to sound pretty stupid in 2010.

Please do not patronize amazon.com . (Powells.com is an excellent alternative for new, used, and rare books) Amazon's extensively horrendous record on unionization and worker treatment should not be supported. Internally, amazon.com even denounces unions and detremental to business and actively tries to disrupt any attempts at unionization.

If a strong democratic majority, rooted in social justice, is to emerge, labor unions must be strengthened and working class Americans must be afforded their due protections of a living wage, job security, and a safe workplace, free from anti-union harrassment! Some examples of amazon.com's poor business practices are listed below (from responsibleshopper.org):

Unionization: None of Amazon.com's employees are represented by a labor union, and the company considers its employee relations to be good. Source: Amazon.com, 10-K, Dec 31, 1998

Unionization: The New York Times reported that Amazon has posted anti-union materials on its internal website. The postings are said to portray unions as detrimental entities which could lead to worker strikes and charge expensive dues with no guarantee of improved wages or benefits. The website also provides managers with "warning signs" of possible union organizing activities, such as "hushed conversations when you approach which have not occurred before," "small group huddles breaking up in silence on the approach of the supervisor," and "dawdling in the lunchroom and restrooms". (see related Alert items) Source: The New York Times, November 29, 2000

Unionization: in January 2001, Amazon fired 300 customer service reps in the Seattle area, including many pushing for a union. For a short time, Amazon also implemented a gag order for terminated workers: departing workers who said anything negative in public about the company were given smaller severance package. In February 2001, Amazon revoked the gag order and instead began asking departing workers to sign a general release clause. A union activist in the Seattle area said of the clause: "This one basically affirms that you will not file any complaints, lawsuits, etc., against the company. It seems to include things like racial and sexual harassment, and unhealthy work environment." Source: Infoworld, March 12, 2001

Worker Rights: In April 2001, an Amazon distribution center in England was the focus of criticism for its working conditions, which included "poor pay, poor conditions, poor communications and poor management," according to a union organizer. Specific complaints for workers included worker harassment and intimidation. Source: Guardian Unlimited

Unionization: A Seattle labor group called for an investigation to determine whether union organizers were targeted by Amazon to be among the 1,300 workers laid off in January 2001. The company offered laid off employees 12 weeks of pay and an additional $500 to cover medical benefits. Amazon has also set up a trust fund of $2.5 million worth of stock for the laid-off employees. The stocks will be sold in 2003 and distributed to the former workers. However, the company was also accused by laid off employees of transferring jobs out of Seattle to markets with cheaper labor. Source: The Seattle Post-Intelligencer, January 31, 2001

Worker Rights: The Washington Alliance of Technology Workers (WashTech) has created "Holiday in Amazonia," a publication detailing bleak working conditions at Amazon's customer service centers. It includes complaints of overcrowding, with up to four people sharing cubicles, low wages, and a "top-down management style." Source: The Washington Post, November 22, 1999

Workforce Reduction: In January 2001, Amazon announced its intention to cut 1,300 jobs, or 15 percent of its workforce. The announcement came after the company released information that its expected revenue growth was smaller than it had expected. Source: Associated Press, January 31, 2001

Outsourcing: In September 2001, Amazon began outsourcing its customer service jobs operations to the New Delhi, India-based Daksh.com corporation. ( Source: Multinational Monitor, Jan/Feb 2001

Executive Compensation In 2001, CEO Jeff Bezos made $81,840 in total compensation from Amazon.com, Inc.. Source: Economic Research Institute

By contrast, powells.com allows its workers to unionize and enters into a collective bargaining contract and does not have the deluge of anti-union/workers treatment complaints that amazon.com does:

Unionization: In August 2000, Powell's Books Inc. entered into its first union contract. After 10 months of negotiations, the book retailer and the International Longshore and Warehouse Union reached a tentative agreement on a three-year contract that provides pay increases of 6 percent a year, Health benefits, a 401(k) plan and grievance procedures. Source: The Oregonian, August 2, 2000