And Gallup Polls, They Just Keep Bouncin’, They Just Keep Bouncin’, Along
In mid-October, DR reported on a Gallup poll bounce in Bush’s approval rating from 50 percent to 55 percent. Comparison with other contemporary polls failed to confirm the Gallup approval bounce, suggesting that the Gallup result should be treated with skepticism.
Well, here it is early December and the gang from Gallup is back with another bounce in Bush’s approval rating from (what else?) 50 percent to 55 percent (measured from 11/14-16 to 12/5-7). Once again, your faithful servant, DR, has checked the other recent national polls for findings consistent with Gallup’s bounce. And, once again, there doesn’t seem to be any.
First, ABC/Washington Post, whose survey dates match up almost exactly with Gallup, has Bush’s approval rating dropping from 57 percent to 53 percent. Then, the Zogby poll has Bush’s job rating remaining essentially unchanged (48 percent to 49 percent) over the period from early November to 12/4-6. And Fox News has Bush’s approval rating holding steady at 52 percent between mid-November and 12/3-4. Finally, the Quinnipiac University poll has Bush’s approval rating at just 51 percent, measured 12/4-8, no change from its last poll at the end of October.
Not much bounce in those numbers. One interesting sidebar on the current Gallup rating, though: Bush’s approval rating among seniors is now 10 points below his rating among the public as a whole. Bush’s approval rating, according to the report linked to above, has generally run 5 or 6 points behind among seniors since his term began, so, with the Medicare bill passage, he actually now appears to be doing worse among this age group. Not exactly what they had in mind, DR suspects.