Ruy Teixeira's Donkey Rising
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Archives
Rural Youth Trending Blue
Early Horse-Race Polls: How Relevant?
TBA Lights Path for Progressive Dems
Dems Close Ranks Behind EFCA
DCorps First 'Battleground' Survey Sees Huge Dem Opportunity
Dem-Controlled State Legs Lead in Health Care
How the GOP Leverages the Net
Political Strategy Links Illuminate, Amuse
Poll Report on Congressional Approval Distorts Reality
Rural Voters Give Dems Edge
Dems Gaining in Senate Races, Party Preference
Are Theocons Pushing Voters to Dems?
New Study of American Muslims Merits Dem Review
Vets Advise Dems
'Minority' Surge in South Promises Change
So Who Won the Debate?
GA Dem to Take on Chambliss
Dems Set to Gain From Health Care Mandate
Exposing GOP Candidates' Bogus Populism
Party Regulars, Street Join Forces
Wanted: Dem Senate Candidates in Key States
Reframing the Iraq Funding Debate
Dem Leaders Struggling to End Iraq Quagmire
Dem Pres Candidates Fund-Raising Tops GOP --- in the South
Memo to Dems: Don't Blur Distinctions
Averaging Horse Race Polls Gives Best Snapshot
Movement to Disempower Electoral College Picks Up Steam
GOP and Reagan's Record on Race
Latino Citizenship Campaign Lifts Dem Prospects
Uptick in Support for Energy Independence Gives Dems Wedge
Voters Want Action on Trade
Lengthening List of Military Brass Oppose GOP Iraq Policy
Dems Have Growing Mandate to Help Poor
Denialfest in Gipperland
Netroots Article Generates More Buzz
Netroots Cover Story Draws Heat
Dems Should Note Groups Public Wants to Help
Reagan Myth to Cast '08 Shadow
Solid Content, Little Drama in First Debate
Dems Prep for Orangeburg Rumble
How Dem Candidates Should Support Gun Control
Frontloaded Primaries Provide Advantages
Second-Tier Candidates Redux
Media-Dissed Second-Tier Candidates Deserve a Look
How Frontloading, Electoral College Trash Democracy
Public Opinion on Gun Laws Tracks Crime Rates
Tax Reform Can Add Leverage to Dem Agenda
Centrist Gains in Evangelical Movement May Help Dems
Responding to GOP Diss of Dems As 'Elitist'
Suburban Poverty Growth May Alter Dem Strategy
Dems Gain on '08 Congress Vote, Security Image
Will 'Identity Voters' Decide '08 Outcome?
Republican Leader Shows Integrity
Dem Strength Shows in Generic Poll
Strategy Articles Challenge Dems
Medical Marijuana Reforms Gaining Ground With Dems
Communications Skills May Trump Policy With Most Swing Voters
It's the Fed, Stupid
Are Gamblers More Reliable Than Polls?
Rove's '08 House Targets Revealed
Dems' '08 Senate Prospects Brighten
VA State Legislature 'Normandy Beach' for Dems
Bloggers Mull Pros and Cons of Mega-Primary
Progressive Evangelicals May Give Dems Leverage
Dems Find Buzz for Energy Independence Reforms Elusive
Does Demonizing Adversaries Hurt Dems?
How TPM, Bloggers Are Revolutionizing Political Reportage
Gonzales Mess Part of Venerable GOP Tradition
Fed Prosecutors Purge Driven by Voter Suppression?
Does Character Trump Issues with Voters?
Perception of Dems Depends on Iraq Message
Blue Dogs Have Key Role in Forging Dem Consensus
GOP Implodes on All Fronts
New Book Teaches Kids Democratic Values
Study Ranks Dems on Left-Right Continuum
Watch Pair of '07 Gov Races for Clues to '08
Felon Disenfranchisement: Key Component of Voter Suppression
Early Polls Have Weak Track Record for Dems
Getting Past Who Voted How, Said What, When And Why
Can Dems Unify Party on Iraq in '07?
Bloggers Illuminate Dem Strategy in Hump Day Wrap-up
Lakoff: Progressives Won Big Linguistic Victory
'Coattail Effect' May Swing Senate
Religious Prattle May Hurt Candidates
Political Ads Now 'Huge Revenue Opportunity' for Bloggers
Dems Senate Majority Shaky, But Poised to Increase
For Democrats, Whistling Past Dixie May Be Whistling Past the Graveyard
Dither About Blither Bogs Down Senate
Schumer: Netroots Can Help Dems Hold Senate
Dems Tread Carefully in Advancing Agenda
New PSI Study Paints South Purple
Dems Search for Iraq Consensus
Political Internet Use Doubles Since '02
CQ Posts Early Peek at 2008 Senate Races
Targeting State Houses in '08
Nurturing the Netroots on the Road to 2008
Luntz: GOP Tanks Off Message
So Who Reads Political Blogs?
Dem Proposals Respond to 'Surge'
Survey on 'Surge" Recalls MLK Challenge
How 'Viral Video' Can Give Dems Edge
Strong Dem Candidates Needed -- Women and Men
Western Strategy Gains Cred
Anatomy of Close House Races Revealed
Dems' Mandate: Full Speed Ahead With 100 Hour Agenda
Is Population Growth Red or Blue?
Dems' Future on Line As New Congress Convenes
Focus: Swing States and Electoral Votes
Dem Seers Chart Course for New Year
Dems Expected to Produce Health Care Reform
West, South May Define Political Future
How Unions and the Democratic Party Can Grow Together
New Tiger at the Helm of DCCC
NPR/GQR Poll Outlines Dem Mandate
Time for Redistricting Hardball?
Lone Star Donkeys Deliver Sweet # 30
Dem Prospects May Depend on 'Invisible Primary'
Democratic Governors Setting Stage for '08
Needed: Stronger Dem Leadership for Katrina Recovery
Dems Weigh Proposal to Discourage 'Frontloading' Primaries
Dems Set to Ride Hispanic Tide in '08
Should Dems Whistle Past Dixie?
Freshman Districts Vulnerability Ranked
'Economic Populists' vs. "The Rubinites' to Shape Dems' Future
Dems' Challenge: Recruit More Women Candidates
Southern Demographics and Electoral Vote
How '06 Shake-up May Tilt Electoral College
Dems Poised for Big Senate Gains in '08
Fair Trade May Give Dems Edge in '08
Make Nice -- Not
Will Dems' Winning Formula Hold in '08?
New Dems Provide Strong Voice for Environment
Sunday Post-Election Articles Speculate on Dem Future
Mining Tips From Best '06 Ads for '08
What Does '06 Turnout Mean for Dems?
Was Election a Triumph for Dem Conservatives?
Tester's Narrow Lead May Give Dems Senate Control
Webb Has Edge in VA Nail-Biter
Where to Look for Early Clues Tonight
State of the Race: Final Update
November Polls: Dems' Average Lead in Double Digits
Will Blue Wave Deliver Senate?
Sunday Wrap-Ups: Blue Tide Still Rising
State of the Race Update III: Six Days to Go !
Responding to Swift Boat 2
Will Women Ride Blue Wave to Power?
Net Gains on TV as Political News Source
Ad-Buyers' Chess Game Key to Home Stretch Campaigns
Dems Surge in Poll of Rural Voters
Ford Shines Light on Purple South
Friends in VA?
Bowers: Senate Takeover a 'Longshot'
Black, Hispanic Conservatives Bailing Out of GOP
Survivor! by Jim McTague
State of the Race Update II
The Fat Lady Ain't Singin', But...
Greenberg: Dems Can Create 'Historic Election'
Battle for Senate Majority: The Four Closest Races
Dem Campaigns Way Short on Cash
South Sours on Iraq Quagmire
Environmental Issues May Sway Some Elections
GOP Losing Security Cred With White Workers
Energy Independence: The Roux in the Stew
Solid GOP South Cracking?
State of the Race Update
Hispanic Turnout Critical in Many Races
State of the Race: The Macro and the Micro
Newsweek Poll: The Donkey Runs Strong
Dems Building 'Blue Bridge' in Mountain West
GOP Losing Evangelical Voters
DCORPS: Seniors Leaning Democratic
Dems Advance As GOP Slouches Toward Reality
Will GOP Meltdown Give Dems Senate Majority?
Republican GOTV Machine: Fact or Myth?
Foley Scandal/Cover-up and House Races
Assessing Dean's Long-Term Strategy
There They Go Again: The Gallup Likely Voter Screen and the 2006 Midterm Elections
For the Long Haul: Invest in Dem Youth
Polling of Key Districts
Hump Day Recommended Reading
The Forecast Today
Leaked Iraq Report Hobbles GOP Strategy
Fair Trade Gives Dems Mid-Terms Edge
NYT/CBS Poll: Dems Ahead 15 Percent in Mid-Term Races
Dems Gaining in Swing States
Vote Theft, Poll Screw-ups Cut Dem Wins
Does Emotion Trump Reason in Voter Choice?
Academic Studies Point to Democratic Wins
New Pew Report on Economic Security
GOP Primary Turnout in Rhode Island not so Impressive
Primaries Message: Ground Game, Poll Monitoring Critical
Can Southern Women Win Back South for Dems?
GOP Bets Big On Negative Attack Ads
New Democracy Corps Survey on Nat. Security
Clear 'Identity' Key to Dems' Success
Ideology, Foreign Policy, and Yellow Submarines
Immigration Still Huge Issue in Many Districts
Campaign '06 Wrap-Ups Everywhere
NYT Article Peeks at GOP Nov. 7 Strategy
Wall St. Journal: Dems Gaining on National Security
Dem Elites, Rank-and-File Split on Iraq?
Will Katrina Relief Failure Affect the Election?
Dems House Prospects Brighten Nine Weeks Out
Making the Case for Felon Enfranchisement
Building Unions Key to Strong Democratic Party
Making the Democratic Case in Bellwether PA
Dems Challenged to Strenghten Party for Long Haul
Dems Seize National Security Issue
Harris Poll: Women Lead Dem Surge
Labor Unites for November Elections
New AP-IPSOS Poll: Dems Got Serious Game
Lamont Victory: Where He Got the Votes
GOP Strategy Memo Urges Focus on Iraq, Security Issues
Rising Environmental Concerns Boost Dems
Pundits See Dems' Chances Improving
Dem Turnout Concerns Tempered by Evaporation of GOP 'Safe' Seats
Battle for the House - The GOP Scorecard
Dems Rethinking Redistricting Demographics
New Group to Help Chart Dem Victories
Dems Gaining in 50 Most Competitive House Districts
Support for Nonintervention Grows in New Poll
Dems Need More Women Candidates
New WaPo Election Guide Tracks Issues, '06 Races
Reed Defeat Shows Corruption Issue Resonates
Hispanic Vote -- A Deepening Shade of Blue
'50 State Strategy' Sinks Roots in Red Soil
Dems Lead in Battle for Youth Vote
Awakening Immigrant Vote Can Help Dems
Stopping Rove's 'Slime Machine'
Dems Benefit from 'Enthusiasm' Gap
Addressing Immigration Issues -- Mid-terms and Beyond
A Dem Exit Strategy ---Via Afghanistan
Should Dems Play Redistricting Hardball?
Dems' 'Edgy' Campaign Leaders Break Tradition
Dem Consensus on Iraq Drawdown Evolving?
Dems' Game Plan Taking Shape
GOP '06 Strategy Hinges on Iraq, Terrorism
LA Times Poll: Dems Pulling Ahead in Congressional Races
SCOTUS Redistricting Decision and Dems' Future
GQR Survey Reveals Swing Voter Priorities
Dems Take Lead in Midwest Bellwether
Stampede of the Rinos or Ain't Nuthin' the Matter With Kansas
Can Dems Match GOP Ground Game?
Confronting the "Cut and Run" Label
'Mapchanger Attitude' Needed for a Blue America
Can Dems Win the State Legs in '06?
Mid-Term Challenge: Getting Focused on the Big Question
Palast: RNC 'Scrubbed' Black Troops from Voting Rolls
Dems Pin Hopes on Blue 'Burbs
WSJ Poll: Support for Dem-Controlled Congress Grows
"Take Back America" Conference Lights Path to Victory
DCORPS: Dem Challengers Must Nationalize Election
Illegal Immigration as GOP's Wedge Issue
Elections Message -- Voters Want Change
Eight Elections Today Hold Clues for Mid-terms
GOP Tries Gay Marriage Again
Dems' Challenge: The How and When of Leaving Iraq
Dems Mull Strategy Options
Swing States Impacted By Felon Disenfranchisement
Podcasting Pols Leverage Web for Votes
R-E-S-P-E-C-T Key to Dems' Future
Balance As a Campaign Issue --- For Dems
Dems Can Win by Transcending Macho Politics
More Shrinkage in GOP's 'Safe' House Seats
Can Dems Win Evangelicals?
Is the Base Deserting the GOP?
GOP Angling for Black Votes Short on Substance
The Politics of Definition, All in One Place
Dems Vision-Quest Takes Shape
Will Dems' Momentum Topple GOP's 'Safe' Seats?
The White Working Class Test
Using the Generic Vote to Forecast U.S. House and Senate Elections
The Need for Class-Aspiration Populism
GOP Leaders Squirm Over Immigrant-Bashing
Immigration Policy Protests Offer Opportunity for Dems
Dem Leaders Push to Make '06 Year of the Donkey
The Politics of Definition + Crashing the Gate = The Winning Formula?
The Politics of Definition, Part III
The Politics of Definition, Part II
The Politics of Definition
The Reemergence of the Gender Gap
Recoloring the Political Map
Updating the 2006 Election Outlook
'06 Dems Must Run on More Than 'Competence'
Framing Immigration Issues -- On TV
How 'Northeast Strategy' Can Benefit Dems
The Incredible Shrinking National Security Gap
Oh, Those Liberal College Students!
Protecting Dem House Seats
No Good News for GOP in Recent Polls
Americans Sour on Nation-Building, Oil Dependence
It's the Gas, Stupid?
What Does the Public Want on Immigration?
Exurbia: The Democrats' Next Frontier
2006 Election Outlook: The Macro and the Micro
New Books Illuminate Dem's Path to Victory
2006 Campaign Watch
The Economy, Five Years On
The Iraq War, Three Years On
Will the Real Swingers Please Stand Up?
Did the Bin Laden Tape Tip the Election to Bush?
Dem Activists, Politicos Must Work Together to Stop GOP
Rockies Bellwether Turning Purple
The UN: Good Idea, Bad Execution
Views of Bush and the Iraq War Hit New Lows
Dems Need to Get Wise to Chameleon McCain
Strong Disapproval Matters
Further Thoughts on the Most Recent Gallup Poll
Pessimism Deepens on Iraq
The Great Bail-Out
Dems 'Message Problems' GOP Spin
Bush's Sinking Approval Driven by Image of Incompetence
How Low Can He Go?
Unmarried America: Demographics and Attitudes
Latest SurveyUSA Poll Shows Dem Gains Likely in Senate Races
Dems May Pick Up 6 Governorships
Katrina Evacuees May Tip Some Races
Katrina Recovery: Dems' Wedge for Southern Votes
No Improvement in Sight for GOP
Understanding Suburban Politics
Dems Need Higher Profile on Energy Reform
GOP Losing Support Over Prescription Drug Mess
GOP Losing Grip on Senate?
More on Women Voters
2006 Outlook
Once Again on the Value Change Question
Dems Sharpen Edge in House Races
The Values They Are A-Changin' (Except When They're Not)
Single, Working and Highly-Educated Women and the Progressive Coalition
Time to Get Back to Health Care Reform
Another Take on Values and Values Change
Kerry Campaign Performance in Swing States
The Minority Vote and the Progressive Coalition
A Failed Presidency
Dems Mull Future in 'Get This Party Started'
Party Identification Shifts Toward Democrats
Values to the Left of Me, Values to the Right of Me, and Nary a Strategy in Sight
Dems Should Learn from Their State Labs
Polls: Dems Poised for Modest Gains in '06
Dems Should Project Clarity, Unity On Government Spying
Growing Democratic Issue Advantage
Will the Real White Working Class Please Stand Up (Again)?
How Should Dems Frame GOP Scandals?
Maybe People Don’t Think the Economy Is So Great Because It Isn’t So Great
Public Opinion on Raising the Minimum Wage
Hispanics Bailing Out on GOP
Forecast for Incumbents: Bad to Very Bad
New Poll Confirms Confusion About Alito's Views
Polls Show Many Not Up to Speed on Alito
Americans Feeling Better (But Not Good) about the Economy
Whither the Center in 2006?
Dems Target Seven States to Win Senate Majority
Vets Boost Dems '06 Chances
Gopoian and Whitehead Reply to Bartels
A Reply to Gopoian and Whitehead
Economics and Public Opinion on Immigration
Seniors, the Prescription Drug Benefit and the 2006 Election
Partisan Benchmarks and Political Performance in the 2004 Presidential Election
DLC Urges Dems to Fight for Center
New DCorps Poll Shows Dems Lead House, Senate Races
Iraq the Vote?
Progressive Target: Emerging Suburbs
Mainstream Media Shuns Impeachment Poll Results
Is Bush on the Comeback Trail?
Why Can’t the Public Lose Its Economic Pessimism?
Will Predicting Victory in Iraq Rally the Public Behind Bush?
Dems On Track to Win Majority of Governorships
Stronger Unions Boost Dem Prospects
The Bush Administration: Liars Who Can’t Run the Economy
Moving Toward Isolationism or Back to Normal?
Republicans Vs. Democrats on the Issues
The Iraq Situation Isn’t As Bad As It Seems for the Bush Administration: It’s Worse
In Defense of John Kerry
Don’t Like It, Don’t Understand It, Don’t Plan to Use It: Seniors on the New Medicare Prescription Drug Benefit
Will the Real Exurban Voters Please Stand Up?
Dems Surge Ahead in Recent Polls
Dems Sobering Up for '06 House Races
It’s Definitely a Pro-Choice, Pro–Roe v. Wade Country
Is This the End of Bushism?
Some Lessons from '05 Elections
Dems Up Double Digits in Congressional Races
Public Opinion on Stem Cell Research
Public Opinion on Immigration
It’s the Corruption and Cronyism, Stupid
Dems' Best Focus: Alito's Anti-worker Record
WSJ/Harris Poll: Majority Now Feel Iraq War Was Wrong
Youth Tilt Progressive
Will the Real White Working Class Please Stand Up?
Economic Pessimism Shows No Signs of Lifting
Change Constituency Continues to Grow
Health Care Poll: Americans Want Change
The Progressive Majority and Perot Voters
Bush's Net Job Approval Tumbles in State Polls
Public Resoundingly Rejects Bush and His Policies
Dem Theme for '06: GOP's 'Culture of Corruption and Incompetence'
Has the Public Turned Away from Internationalism? (Part Two)
Should We Call Them "Indycrats"?
Another View of Frank's 'Kansas'
Dems Should Reframe Response to Katrina
Dem Hopes Rise Amid Limp GOP '06 Campaign
Has the Public Turned Away from Internationalism?
Economic Pessimism Update
Who’s Too Close to Whom?
Follow the Bouncing Gallup Poll
Katrina and Iraq
R.I.P. 'Contract with America'
Economic Pessimism Grips the Public
Needed: More Dem Scrutiny of Redistricting Campaigns
Targeting House Seats Dems Can Win in '06
Public Opinion on Public Education
Hurricane Politics Challenges Dems to Recast Strategy
Time to Change Course in Iraq?
Dem '06 Prospects Brighten
Public Opinion on Universal Health Care
End of the Bush Era?
Pew Poll: Feds Flunk Katrina Relief
Public Opinion on Health Care Costs
Do the Math: Why Expanding the Playing Field in 2006 Is Actually a Very, Very Smart Idea
Between Iraq and a Hard Place
It’s a Nation of Unhappy Campers
Labor Day, 2005: Workers Are Unhappy Campers
Weighting by Party ID: Why to Do It and How to Do It
Dems Must Lead Katrina Relief
Californians Sour on Governor, Special Election, and the State’s Direction
More Hispanics, More Democratic
Bush’s First Sub-40 Approval Rating
Sharing Blame for Partisan Rancor
Calling Dem Bridge Builders: Time to Lead
Bush Job-Approval Plummets to New Low
Iraq: Where Dems Agree
Dems' Senate Hopes Rising
GOP Leaders Worried About Iraq, '06
SurveyUSA Polls: Bush Approval Below 50% in 41 States
'06 Senate Races Taking Shape
Ignore '08 Presidential Polls, Get Focused on '06
Dems Should Modify '55 Percent Rule'
Texas Turning Purple
Gallup, Newsweek Polls Show Bush at Historic Lows
New Study Reveals Harm Done By Electoral College
Roberts Likely to Uphold Felon Disenfranchisement
How GOP Voter 'Reforms' Cut Dem Votes in GA
Voting Rights Act Renewal and Dems's Future
Bush Hits New Lows for Iraq Approval, Honesty
Hackett's Near-Upset Shakes GOP
OH-02 Vote Bodes Well for Dems in '06
Does the Big Tent Have a Weak Foundation?
Data Advantage May Give GOP Edge
How Labor's Split Could Affect Dems' Future
Articles Spotlight Elements of Winning Dem Strategy
Whites Moving Away from GOP
Dems Should Focus More on Congressional Campaigns
Main Political Supports of Bush Presidency Seriously Weakened (Continued)
Main Political Supports of Bush Presidency Seriously Weakened
Sorting Out Opinion on Abortion Issues
Despite Scotus Nominee, Recent Polls Say Keep Roe v. Wade
It’s the (Message About the) Economy, Stupid
Antonio Villaraigosa’s Victory in Los Angeles: Any Democratic Lessons for Winning Latino Votes?
No Rally Effect for Bush
Does 'Re-Framing' Give Dems Political Leverage?
Dems Have Bigger Problems Than Rove
Public Opposes 'In-Your-Face" Scotus Nominee
Did the London Bombings Increase Support for the Iraq War?
Dealing with Iraq: What Recent Polls Suggest About Strategy for the Dems
Meanwhile, Back on the Economic Front
Americans Want Action on Global Warming
Democracy Corps: Support for Bush, GOP Sink, But Dems Must Step Up
The Growth of Antiwar Sentiment
Shedding Light on Iraq Occupation
Sure, Hispanics Are Important, But You've Still Got to Do Most of Your Hunting Where Most of the Ducks Are
Youth Say: Bad Bush, No Biscuit!
'New Ideas' Over-rated as Key to Election Wins
Bush’s Speech Fails to Stop His Slide in the Polls
Economic Interests and the Democratic Party: A Reply
Economic Interests and the Democratic Party
More Bad News For Governor Schwarzenegger
Hispanics Poised to Move Democratic
AP-Ipsos Poll: Most Oppose Reinstating Draft
Bush Continues to Weaken
Dems Poised To Take NY, CA, OH, MA Governorships
Schwarzenegger --- How Low Can He Go?
Can Bush’s First Sub-40 Approval Rating Be Far Away?
Dems' Chances Undercut by Rigged System
Felon Voting Rights Movement Gathers Steam
Dem Senators Pull Ahead in Approval Ratings
Gov Warner: Dems Need 'Aspirational, Future-oriented, Hopeful Vision'
More on the Democrats' Southern Problem
Should Democrats Expand the Playing Field in 2006?
Dim Dems Diss Dean
Bush Losing His Strong Suit
Are GOP Hopes for Gains in California Realistic?
How Big Is the White Working Class Vote?
GOP Ethics Mess Lifts Dems' House Prospects
Democrats and the Middle Class (Continued)
Democrats and the Middle Class
Zogby Poll: Americans Want Action in Darfur
Demographic Groups and Turnout in the 2004 Election
Dems' Chances in '06 Senate Races (Part II) or Pundits vs. 'Six-Year Itch'
TAP Articles Chart Future of Liberalism
Dems Have Huge Stake in Labor's Turmoil
How Can the Democrats Become the Party of Change? (Continued)
How Can the Democrats Become the Party of Change?
Dems Show Promising Strength in State Legs
Like Ouch, Man
Nation Articles Mull National Security, Hillary and Dems Future
The Exit Polls Tell a Different Story on Church Attendance and Partisanship
It's a White Protestant Thing, You Wouldn't Understand
Progressive Leaders to Gather for 'Take Back America 2005'
New Poll: Donkeys Take Early Lead in '06 Races
Hunting for EVs
Dems Drunk on 'Frames'?
New Polls Bring New Lows for Bush
Dem Goal: Net Gain of 7 Senate Seats in '06
Democratic Potential Among White Working Class Voters (Continued)
Democratic Potential Among White Working Class Voters
White Working Class Voters and the Democratic Economic Agenda
Governor Approval Polls: Dems Outperform GOP
Political Capital? What Political Capital?
Two Out of Three Oppose GOP 'Nuclear Option' in New Poll
Once Again on Party ID and Likely Voters
Blair's Win: Lessons for Dems?
DeLay's District Turning on Him?
Once Again on the White Working Class
Agenda for Electoral Reform Merits Support
Has Bush Turned the Corner?
Support for Bush Iraq Policy Tumbles Even Further
Myths of Democratic Renewal
More on Generation Y and American Politics
The 'Quagmire' President
Unlike W, Arnold Learns the Limits of Swagger
Generation Y and American Politics
Oh Sure, Telling People You Want to Cut Their Benefits Will Certainly Turn These Numbers Around
Does Bush's Sinking Popularity Matter?
Economic Pessimism Continues to Grow
Revolt of the Middle?
Liberals Clueless on Class?
The New Independent Voter
Strategy Notes:John BelisariusThe Appalling Elitism behind the Pharmacists' "Right of Conscience" Campaign
The West is the Best...
A Crisis of Confidence?
Energy and the Environment? Now That You Mention It, He's Doing a Bad Job There, Too
The Case of Pennsylvania
How Low Can He Go?
Cookie-Jar Republicans Give Dems Edge
'Buying Union' Link Provides Screen for 'Buying Blue' Campaign
How the West Was Won
Bush's 17th Quarter Approval Ratings Lag Far Behind His Predecessors
What Do American Voters Really Think About National Security and Foreign Policy Issues?
Go West, Young Dem
The Jewish Vote in 2004
Seven Potentially Vulnerable GOP Incumbents
Buying Blue Can Be Tricky
Buying Blue, Boycotting Red Companies
Challenge to Dems: Make 'Freedom' a Stronger Party Value
Dems Must Rework Gun Control Policy to Win in '08
Do Elitist Attitudes Toward Religion Undermine Democratic Prospects?
One More Economic Problem: Consumer Credit Worries
Calling All Dems: Stop Funding GOP Causes
Mr. Unpopularity (Continued)
Mr. Unpopularity
New Poll: GOP Interferes in Americans' Private Lives
Can You Say "Dead"? I Think You Can!
Meyerson: Bring White Working Class Back Home
Higher Gas Prices Hit Middle Class
New Foreign Policy Blog
GOP 'Big Tent' Collapsing?
Three Strikes and You're Out?
ISO White Catholics
'Frames,' 'Messaging' Overhyped?
Will GOP Moderates Look Left?
Bill Bradley Deftly Analyses Where the Dems Go Wrong
Time/SRBI Poll Has More Bad News for Bush
The Rural Vote in 2004
The Role of the Terrorism Issue in the 2004 Election
How Can the Democrats Make Progress in the South?
For the Last Time, the 2004 NEP Exit Poll Did Not Provide Evidence of Voter Fraud in the 2004 Election
Targeting the GOP's Achilles' Heel
Gallup, Pew, Confirm Bush Decline
Concern About Runaway Gas Prices Soars
Americans Getting a Touch Impatient About the Economy
The Culture of Life or the Culture of Ideology?
Dems Challenged to Proselytize
Ideologues Dis Majority On End-of-Life Issues
Live-Blogging at the Brookings Event on New Media
Dems Need to Work on Environmental Education
The National Opinion Survey on Youth and Religion -- Are Non-Religious Teenagers Really Deficient in Almost Every Imaginable Way?
Bush Approval Ratings Hit the Skids in New Newsweek Poll
Newsweek Poll: Majority Oppose GOP 'Nuclear Option'
Does the Public Support ANWR Oil Exploration?
Once Again on the 2004 NEP Exit Poll
GOP Spin Doctor Defends Euphemisms
Conservative View of Clinton’s Success, Dean’s DNC Lacks Focus
Public Still Dislikes Iraq War and the State of the Economy
Dems Must Fight for Economic Reforms
CAP Tax Reform Plan Can Win Consensus
Dems Need Fiercer 'Frames'
Social Security: What Part of "No" Don't You Understand?
Bankruptcy Bill Draws Line In Sand for Dems
Hey-Hey, Ho-Ho, John Sweeney’s Got to Go
Enhancing the Democratic Party’s Platform
Dems Must Use Social Security Battle As Springboard
GOP Pitch for Black Votes Dissected
Where the Public Wants the Money Spent
About That Military Vote
GOP Senators Kill Minimum Wage Hike, Despite Majority Support
RX for 'New Democrats' in TNR Article
Arnold's WH Prospects Terminated
Military Voters, Black Voters, Hispanic Voters
Liberal Editors Mull Dems' Future
Unpopular from Coast to Coast (Continued)
Unpopular from Coast to Coast
Southern Dems Launch New Dialogue
Dems Hustled on Tort Reform?
GOP Playbook Now In Accessible Format
New AP-Ipsos Poll: Most Disapprove of Bush SS Plan
Bush's Approval Ratings Decline as Support for His Social Security Plan Heads South
More On Winning Southern Moderates
NPR Poll: Dems Have Early Edge for '06 Elections
GOP Playbook Now Online
Poll Says America Is Ready for Woman President
Where Have All the Southern White Moderates Gone?
Harold Meyerson on The Dems and Working Class Voters
Outside of a Small Circle of Friends
Harris Poll Cites Drop in Support for Iraq Occupation
AP-Ipsos Poll: Allies Skeptical About U.S. Exporting Democracy
Finding Common Ground in Abortion Debate Minefield
What Happened in the South in Bush's 2004 Election Victory?
Is Conservatism the Dominant Political Creed in America?
Whither Liberalism?
Social Security: Son of That Dog Won't Hunt
Once Again on the Party ID Question
Job One: Identifying Democratic Principles
Dems Need to Re-Think Consultant Policies
Don't Think Rural, Think "Micropolitan"
Who Mobilized the Most in 2004?
Dems Toughening Up?
Will the Real Party Preferences of the American Electorate Please Stand Up? (Part Deux)
Social Security: That Dog Won't Hunt Department
Gallup Approval Ratings Return to Planet Earth
Dems Future Scrutinized As Dean Takes Helm of DNC
Will the Real Party Preferences of the American Electorate Please Stand Up?
Bush Approval Sinks in New AP/Ipsos Poll
Gallup's 57 Percent Approval Rating Outlier
Kerry’s 2004 ANES Thermometer Ratings: The Least-Liked Democratic Candidate Since McGovern?
GOP Clones Drive Bush Approval Surge
New SS Poll Disses Chicken Little
It's the White Working Class, Stupid
GOP Pitch for Black Votes Bears Little Fruit
Independents and Young People (Not to Mention the General Public) Display Little Enthusiasm for Bush's Social Security Plan
What Do the Democrats Stand For?
New Blog on the Block!
Ho-Ho Has the Last Laugh
2004 NEP Exit Poll Data Now Available!
Andy Stern May Be a Little Bit Crazy, But Sometimes Crazy Is What You Need
Yes, Virginia, Question Wording Does Matter
Public Not With the Bush Program
How to Build a Majority
AARP Poll On Privatizing SS: NO!
Voters on Bush’s Social Security Plan: Thanks, but No Thanks
That Cleared Up Everything, Right?
So If We Agree on All This, How Did We Wind Up with Bush?
Zogby Poll: Bush Job Approval Lags, 'Shame' Quotient Rises
The Public's Health Care Agenda
A Nation of Unhappy Campers (Continued)
A Nation of Unhappy Campers
Do the Iowa Caucuses Prevent Moderate Candidates from Being Nominated?
Pre-Inauguration Blues (Continued)
Pre-Inauguration Blues
Democrats and Single Women
More on Mr. Popularity
Social Security and "Sam's Club Republicans"
Clintonism, Consultants and Character
Mr. Popularity
Whither the Labor Movement?
What, If Anything, Do We Now Know about the Exit Polls That We Didn’t Know Before?
Is It All about White People with Kids?
Where to Show Them the Money: More on Taking Back the House
Show Them the Money: The Key to Taking Back the House
More on Exurbia
Back to the Barricades?
Realignment Watch
Can We All Agree on This?
Terrorism, Gay Marriage, and Incumbency: Explaining the Republican Victory in the 2004 Election
Just How Sick Is the Public Getting of the Iraq Situation?
Now That You Mention It, Perhaps These Private Accounts Aren't Such a Good Idea After All
Bush's "Reagan Lite" Coalition
Social Security Privatization: The Reform That Isn't Needed for a Public That Doesn't Want It
Bah, Who Needs the Political Center?
The Final Results Are In
The Exurban Myth (Continued)
WSJ Poll: Bush 'Mandate' Limp At Best
The Exurban Myth
The "Values Voters" Debate Continues
Rating the State Polls
Whither the DLC?
Once Again on the Beinart Question
The Struggle for DNC Chair
Hispanic Revisions Update
Bush's Mighty 2 Point Win
Oh, What a Lovely Day for a Purge!
New Study Cites Surge In Student Support for Dems
DLC Gurus Propose ‘Heartland Strategy’ to ‘Get the Red Out’
One of Your Better Postmortems
A Note on Florida
Reconsidering the Conventional Wisdom About Ohio
'Moral Values' Theory of Election Discredited in WaPo Article
More on the Revision of NEP National Exit Poll Hispanic Data
The Nation Serves Feast for Victory-Hungry Dems
American Prospect's RX For Dems
Yup, Still a Roe v. Wade Country
Bush's Lead Down to 2.6 Percent and Falling!
Bush's Hispanic Support Continues to Fall!
Unmarried Women Now Key Element of Democratic Base
The Time-for-Change Model and the 2004 Presidential Election: A Post-Mortem and a Look Ahead
Bush's Hispanic Support Headed Downwards
Comparing the Bush and Reagan Eras
Ruy Teixeira and Ken Mehlman Offer Opposing Views in Washington Post Analysis
Rolling Stone Features Ruy Teixeira in Election Analysis
Old Democrats, New Democrats, Newer Democrats
Did Bush Really Benefit from E-voting in Florida?
No Honeymoon for Bush, No Parity on Party ID for Republicans
Another Note on Those Fast-Growing Counties
How Important Were the Fast-Growing Counties to Bush's Victory?
Does Bush Have a Mandate for His Conservative Agenda?
Have the Republicans Really Achieved Parity on Party ID?
American Prospect Hosts Debate on Tactics for the Dems
Washington Post Notes That Colorado Was a Bright Spot for Dems
NYT Op-Ed Notes Broad Support for Environmental Measures in 2004 Election
A Close-Up Look at Undecided Voters
Did Bush Really Get 44 Percent of the Hispanic Vote?
New Analysis Confirms Complexity of Religious Vote
Harold Meyerson Argues Dems Can Find New Message in Challenges of Global Economy
Pew Survey Reveals That Question Design Influences Voters Choice of "Values" or "Iraq" as Most Important Issue
National Journal Article Debunks "Mandate" Myth
Palast and Manjoo Debate whether Kerry Really Won Ohio
FDR and Values
Economic Policy Institute Economist Says Economic Issues Still Potent Vote-Getter
The Spatial Distribution of Bush's Vote Gains
God, Guns and Gays: Testing the Conventional Wisdom About the 2004 Election
Do the Exit Polls Indicate Voter Fraud?
Strategy Notes:John BelisariusHow Big A Role Did Fraud, Ballot Theft and Suppression of the Vote Play in The Election?
Solving the Paradox of 2004
Harold Meyerson Notes Continuing Democratic Unity
Where Did Bush's Gains Come From?
A Tour of the 2004 Exit Poll: What It Says and What It Doesn't (Continued)
Did Gay Marriage Referenda Help Bush Get Re-elected?
Expanding the Playing Field
What Mandate?
A Tour of the 2004 Exit Poll: What It Says and What It Doesn't
Religion and the 2004 Election
How High Was Turnout in the 2004 Election?
The Secrets of Bush's Success.....and How Democrats Can Come Back
Strategy Notes:John BelisariusThe Democrats Didn’t Lose in this Election, They Won
2008 and the Time for a Change Factor
Good Answers to Good Questions
Lessons of the 2004 Election
Exit Polls and Other Woes
Exit Poll Update
Current Exit Poll Results
Final Harris Poll Points to Kerry Victory
Kerry Edges Bush in NH Poll
Final SurveyUSA Iowa Poll: Kerry Up 3
Final Marist Poll: Edge to Kerry
Independent Voters for Kerry
One Last Look at the Polls in Florida and Ohio
Kerry Takes Final Economist/YouGov Poll by 3
SurveyUSA Polls: Kerry, Bush Neck and Neck in Swing States
National Tracking Poll Roundup
Bush's Disappearing Lead in the CBS News Poll
Final Pre-election Poll Analysis
If You Can't Trust Fox News, Who Can You Trust?
DCorps Poll: Kerry Up 1 Nation-wide, 5 in Battleground
Kerry Running Close in Two New Polls, Leads Among Independents
Marist Poll: Kerry, Bush Tied Among RVs, Kerry Leads Among LVs
New Gallup Polls Show Kerry Finishing Strongly
Kerry's Lead Among Independents Makes Bush's Situation Extremely Dire
About the Final Pew Poll
National Tracking Poll Roundup
Analysis of Zogby State Tracking Polls
Stan Greenberg Speaks!
Des Moines Register Poll: Kerry Leads by 3 in Iowa
Kerry Leads in NH, PA, MN, Tied in NV, Down 4 in VA
State by State
Kerry Ahead by 1 in New ARG National Poll
National Tracking Poll Roundup
Newsweek Poll: Bush Up 3, Approval At 46%
It's "Real Clear" That Bush Is in Trouble
Kerry Up 1 in NM, Tied in NH
Where Can I Get a Good EV Count?
Tracking the Tracking Polls: The Comparison to 2000
Tracking the Tracking Polls: The Sequel
RVs or LVs?
Analysis of the Big Four
Kerry Takes Lead in New Florida Poll
Kerry Ahead by 6 and 4 in Pair of New MI Polls
More Evidence Suggesting a High Turnout Election
Miami Dade County Poll: Kerry Running Stronger Than Gore in 2000
Latest PA Poll: Kerry Ahead by 5
High Turnout: Advantage Democrats
New Democracy Corps Analysis Shows Bush Suffering Major Loss of Support Among College-Educated Men
The Economy May Not Be Everything
More on the Nader Non-Factor
Kerry Ahead by 4 and 3 in Pair of New National Polls
New ARG Polls: Kerry Ahead in OR, WI, Lags in IA
Quinnipiac Poll: Kerry, Bush tied Among FL RV's
Analysis of Major National Polls
WaPo/Univision/TRPI Poll: Kerry Ahead Nearly 2-1 Among Latino RV's
New Polls Have Kerry Ahead in OH, PA, IA, Lagging in FL
A Stroll Down Memory Lane
You Know Michigan's Safe Now!
Blacks and the 2004 Election
Kerry Ahead by 1 in New Harris Poll
Latest LA Times Poll: Kerry/Edwards Leading By 1% in Horserace
Latest Democracy Corps Survey Shows Kerry Up By Two Nationwide and Leading 52-45 in Battleground States.
Latest Pennsylvania Poll is 13th to Show Kerry Leading Bush, This Time by 49-44
Latest ARG Polls: Kerry Leading By 3% in Florida, 2% In Ohio, 3% in Pennsylvania.
Gallup Vs. Everyone Else
The "How Can Gallup........" Game (Florida Edition)
New Polls Show Kerry leads by 9% in NH, 2% in FL
New Gallup Poll Shows Movement Toward Kerry
Analysis of Trends in Major Media Polls
Bush's Battleground Blues (Continued)
New Voters for Kerry
Time Vs. Newsweek
Tracking the Tracking Polls
The State of the Race With 9 Days to Go
Race Close and Bush under 50 in Pair of NV Polls
Kerry Surges to Dead Heat in Arkansas
Two New Polls Have Kerry Ahead by 1, Dead Heat in Florida
Democracy Corps Poll: Kerry Ahead 2, Up 7 in Battleground
Kerry Leads in 10th Straight PA Poll
Kerry Leads by 13 Among College Students
The Nader Non-Factor
Advocates of Government Action to Reduce Inequality Prefer Kerry
Another Solid Lead for Kerry in Ohio
Paul Krugman Weighs in on the Gallup Problem
About those Mason-Dixon Polls
Quinnipiac Poll: Kerry Leads in PA by 6
Kerry Up by 5 in Ohio
Bush's Battleground Blues
SurveyUSA Poll: Kerry Leads in MI, Trails in IA and CO
Quinnipiac University Poll: Kerry Down by 1 in Florida
Kerry Leading by 18 in CA
Bush's Approval Ratings in the Latest Pew Poll
A Reply to Gallup's Reply to Critics
A Comment on Andrew Kohut's New York Times Op-Ed
AP-Ipsos Poll: Kerry Leads by 3
Marist Poll: WH Race Dead Heat
Harris Poll: Kerry Ahead by 7 in Swing States, Down 2 Nation-wide
PRC Poll: Kerry Up 6 in Battleground, Tied Nation-wide
Economist/YouGov Poll: Kerry Up by 2
NBC News/Wall St. Journal Poll: Kerry Lags by 2%
Kerry Leads by 6 in Maine
Kerry Ahead by 3 in Ohio
Kerry Up 1% in New Mexico
Kerry Has Edge in Pair of NH Polls
Kerry Holds Lead in Two Oregon Polls
Kerry Leads By 5% , Tied in Pair of WI Polls
The Latest Democracy Corps Strategy Memo
SurveyUSA Polls: Kerry has Edge in OH, NJ; Lags in MO, NV and VA
Gallup Poll Racially-Biased
Just How Bad Is That CBS News/New York Times Poll for Bush?
The Race in the Key Battleground States
New Poll Shows New Jersey Is Not in Play
Democracy Corps Poll: Kerry Leads by 3%
Kerry Ahead by 2% in Ohio
NYT/CBS News Poll: Kerry, Bush Locked in Dead Heat
No Further Comment Necessary Department
Kerry Leads, Gains in Key Swing States After 3rd Debate
Bad Gallup! No Biscuit!
You Know, I Think We're Finally Getting to 'Em
Follow-up on Gallup Poll
Gallup Vs. Democracy Corps Redux
New Time Poll Has Race Tied
Inside Scoop on Rove's View of the Election
Fasten Your Seat Belts, Turbulent Polls Ahead
Kerry Leads by 4 in New FL Poll
The Mary Cheney Ploy: Brilliantly Dirty Politics or Just Kinda Weird?
Take Two Articles and Call Me in the Morning
Kerry Up by 1 in WP/ABC Tracking Poll
Scripps Survey Research Center: Kerry Leads by 5%
How Much Did Kerry Gain from the Debates?
Tracking the Tracking Polls
It's a Beautiful Thing
DCorps Survey Confirms Kerry Win in Third Debate
Kerry Wins Third Debate
Kerry Still Ahead in the WP/ABC News Tracking Poll
Midwest Battleground State Polls from Chicago Tribune
Democracy Corps Poll: Kerry, Bush in Dead Heat
Quinnipiac Poll: Kerry Leads by 4 in PA
Kerry Leads by 9% in Oregon
Bush Ahead By 2% in New ICR Poll
Kerry Leads in New Economist Poll
Kerry Takes Lead in WP/ABC Tracking Poll
Notes on the Latest Gallup Poll
State of the Race
New Gallup Poll Shows Progress for Kerry, Weakness for Bush
A Note on Who Posts What
A Note on the ABC News/Washington Post Tracking Poll
Democracy Corps Post-Debate Panel Survey Gives Kerry Solid Win
Kerry Edges Bush in ABC News, Gallup Post-Debate Polls; Wins Independents Easily
Battleground States Results
On Day of Debate, Election is a Dead Heat
Strategy Notes:John BelisariusDemocratic Unity is More Important than Yesterday’s Debates
WSJ/Zogby Poll: Kerry Ahead or Tied in All Battleground States
New AP--Ipsos Poll: Kerry, Bush Tied
Swing State Polls: Kerry Running Strong
Stanley Greenberg Analyzes Early Debate Data
Kerry and Bush Remain Tied
Fox News Poll: WH Race in Statistical Tie
Edwards, Cheney Split Debate Polls
Summary of the Post-Debate Polls – Kerry Closes the Gap
Granite State Gains
NYT/CBS News Poll: Kerry, Bush in Dead Heat
WaPo-ABC News Poll: Bush Up 5
Bush Ahead by 7 in Pew Poll
Zogby Poll: Bush and Kerry Statistically Tied
Gallup, LA Times Polls: Kerry, Bush in Statistical Tie
New Newsweek Poll: Kerry 49, Bush 46
Leading Pollster Guy Molyneux Explains Why the Media Is Overestimating Bush's Lead
New Democracy Corps Poll Finds Substantial Gains For Kerry as Result of First Debate
Instant Polling Results Helped Limit Republican Spin
Kerry Sweeps Debate Polls
Harris Poll: Statistical Tie on Eve of Debate
LA Times Poll: Bush Ahead by 4 As Debates Begin
Kerry, Bush Tied in New Economist Poll
New Study Targets Key Groups for Kerry Gains
Single Women: Put Domestic Concerns First
New IBD/CSM/TIPP Shows Dead Heat in Race for White House
Pew Research Center Has Bush Up 3, Then 8 in Two New Polls
Even MoveOn.org Is Playing the "How Can Gallup......." Game!
The "How Can Gallup......." Game (Continued)
The "How Can Gallup........" Game
WAPO-ABC News Poll: Bush Ahead by 7
So, How Well Does That Gallup Likely Voter Model Really Work?
Kerry Up 1 in NH See-Saw Race
Kerry Gains on Bush in Time Poll
Fox News Poll: WH Race in Statistical Tie
CBS Poll: Bush Ahead by 8
Marist Poll: Statistical Tie
AP-Ipsos Poll: Kerry Lags by 9
Gallup Vs. Democracy Corps
More On Those Alleged Security Moms
Strategy Notes:John BelisariusWhat the Public Really Thinks About Iraq - And the Challenge Facing Kerry
Race Still Tight in Swing States
Kerry, Bush in Statistical Tie in Pair of Iowa Polls
Kerry, Bush Run Close in Two Florida Polls
SurveyUSA Polls Show Close WH Race in Key Swing States
About That Vanishing Gender Gap
Dead Heat in New Democracy Corps Poll
Kerry Holds Narrow Lead in Economist Poll
New WSJ/NBC News Poll Shows Tight Race
NDN Surveys Show Democrats Need Clarity and High Hispanic Turnout
New ARG Polls Have the Race Very, Very Close
Kerry Up by 8 in Washington State Poll
Was the Republican Convention Bigger Than 9/11?
New Polls in Iowa, Michigan, Ohio and Oregon
New National Poll Shows Statistical Tie in WH Race
Kerry Leads in 11 of 16 Swing States In New Zogby Poll
ARG Vs. Gallup
WH Race Still Close in New National Poll
New State Polls
A Few More Thoughts on the New CBS News/New York Times Poll
Wall Street Journal Article Asks All the Right Questions
CBS News/New York Times Poll Has It Close to Even!
Gallup Strikes Again!
Kerry, Bush Running Close in 3 PA Polls
Bush Leads by 1 in Another MN Poll
Bush Has Small Lead in MN Poll
Bush Leads in New National Poll
Kerry, Bush Tied in Major National Poll
Kerry Shows Strength in New ARG Poll
Kerry Seizes Lead in New National Poll
White House Race Narrows in New National Poll
Persuadable Voters Still Not Persuaded
Kerry Holds Strong Lead in MN
Kerry Up by 7 in Michigan
Now Available: Latest Democracy Corps Analysis By Stanley Greenberg and James Carville
Bush Ahead in New Florida Poll
A Few More Thoughts on the State of the Race
Bush Leads in Wisconsin
Bush Leads in ICR Poll
Kerry Takes Lead in New National Poll
Why the Race Is Closer Than People Think
Fox Poll Shows Kerry Lead in Battleground States
Dead Heat in Maine
Strategy Notes:John BelisariusHow much damage did the Swift Boat attacks really do - and what can Dems learn from them?
Kerry Leads in New PA Poll
Kerry Rips Into Bush Lead in Missouri
New National Poll Shows Neck and Neck Race for White House
So Where Are We?
More on Labor Day Leads
NC Trending Purple?
Kerry, Bush in Statistical Tie in New Ohio Poll
Bush Has Narrow Lead in Democracy Corps Poll
New Economist Poll Shows Race Nearly Tied
More on Those (Un)likely Gallup Voters
Maybe September 6 Was a Really Good Day for Bush
Watch Out for Those Gallup LVs in Ohio
New Gallup State Polls
Guess They Skipped the Apples-to-Apples Thing in Gallup Training School
Does Bush Really Have a 7 Point Lead?
New ICR Poll Has Kerry Over Bush by a Point
Kerry Widens Lead in Battleground States!
Gallup Poll Gives Bush Only a 2 Point Bounce
Bush, Kerry Running Close In New Mexico
Could Everyone Please Just Calm Down Out There?
How High the Bounce?
Zogby Poll of Likely Voters Shows Bush 46%, Kerry 44%
Adventures in Likely Voter Land
Welcome to the New Donkey!
Kerry 48%, Bush 46% in New ARG poll
So What's Going on in Pennsylvania?
ICR poll has Kerry up by 7 points
Voters Still Thumbs-Down on Economy
The Race at the Start of the Republican Convention
Time Poll Finds 46%-46% Tie
NPR Survey Shows Kerry 50%, Bush 46%,
New Annenberg Center Study Shows 46% Believe Bush Behind Attack Ads, 37% Do Not
What that "Awful" LA Times Poll Really Means
Florida Poll Shows Race Too Close To Call - But Trend Appears Favorable for Kerry/Edwards
Zogby Poll sees Kerry Leading in Most Battleground States
IDB/TIPP Poll Finds Race Tied
Gallup Poll sees Tie in Florida
Economist Poll Shows Kerry Firmly in Lead 48%-41%
Opinion Data on the Effect of Anti-Kerry ads Not as Clear As Press Commentary Suggests
Harris Poll Finds Race Tied.
CBS poll shows Kerry/Edwards 46%-45% vs. Bush/Cheney
Ohio Poll Shows Undecided Gradually Moving Toward Kerry/Edwards
Pew Research Center Report Shows Swing Voters Closer to Kerry Than Bush
Pennsylvania Poll Shows Kerry Holding Lead
Michigan Poll Shows Kerry Ahead 48-42
Kerry Closing Gap in North Carolina
Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll
Kerry 48%, Bush 45% in Ohio
Kerry 47%, Bush 43% in New Zogby Poll
Kerry Holds Slight Lead in New PRC Poll
Kerry and Bush Neck and Neck in New Gallup Poll
Kerry Gains in New FL Poll
Michigan Tilts Toward Kerry
Kerry Has Strong Lead in Hawaii
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner survey
Prescription Drug Issue
Kerry 'Still Has the Edge' in Time Poll
Strong Lead for Kerry in Key Swing States
Zogby Polls Say Kerry leads in 13 of 16 Swing States
Kerry Up By 7 In New National Poll
Kerry Gaining Among Independents
Kerry Leads By 7 In New FL, NH Polls
Strategic Vision
Investor's Business Daily/Christian Science Monitor/TIPP
Associated Press-Ipsos
Marist Poll Brings More Good News for Kerry
Fox Poll finds Gains for Kerry
See You at the End of August
Follow the Bouncing Polls
From Baby Bounce to No Bounce?
Before We Pronounce on the Bounce, Let's Measure It Properly Shall We?
So, How'd He Do?
How High the Bounce?
It's Official: The Democrats' Party ID Advantage is Back
Kerry Vs. Bush Among Persuadable Voters and Independents
Kerry Vs. Bush on the Issues
WSJKS?
The Long-Term Strategy Debate Continues
Thinking Long-Term
The White Working Class and the 2004 Election
The Political Landscape on the Eve of the Convention (Continued)
The Political Landscape on the Eve of the Convention
All in All, Kerry Is in a Pretty Good Position
Does John Kerry Have a Clear Plan for Iraq?
Message Re-Adjustment Time
Can There Be Such a Thing as Too Much Bad News for President Bush?
Is Our Wages Growing?
No Matter How You Pick Your Horse Race, It's Still Pretty Good News
Bah, We Don' Need No Stinkin' Swing Voters!
Now That You Mention It, I Guess It Wasn't Such a Good Idea
Kerry-Edwards Up By 7
Bounce or Not, It Looks Like the Kerry-Edwards Ticket Is Playing Very Well Indeed
Young Voters Moving Democratic (Even Before Edwards!)
Oh, So Bush Is Going to Lose, Is He?
Edwards Polling Roundup
All Hail Steve Rosenthal!
If You Don't Believe Me, Read Paul Krugman
Good Move, John Kerry!
WSJKD?
New Annenberg Election Survey Data
About That "Booming" Economy
The Polls Are All Singing the Same Song
Just How Far South Has the Public Gone on Iraq?
That Oh-So-Negative New York Times Poll
The Catholic Vote
The Rural Vote
The Nader Vote
Why Isn't Kerry Farther Ahead?
A Poll Matthew Dowd Can Be Happy About
Public Says Iraq War a Mistake
Good News from the Provinces
Persuadable Voters Not Persuaded
Edwards for Vice President
Gone Guest-Blogging
When the Public Says the Economy Isn't So Good, Perhaps That's Because It Isn't
Are Independents Giving Up on Bush?
Kerry Ahead on Handling the US Campaign Against Terrorism (!)
Gone Fishin'
Now That You Mention It, It Has Been a Pretty Lousy Three Years
Kerry and the Economy
Kerry and Iraq
Students for Kerry
Yet More On That LA Times Poll
More On That LA Times Poll
Sorry, GOP, No Reagan Death Bounce Here
Will the Economy Save Bush (June Edition Supplement)
Southwestern Hispanics Lean Strongly Democratic
Gallup Delivers Bad News for President Bush
Will the Economy Save Bush? (June Edition)
Independent Voters and the Bush Presidency
Swing Voters in Swing States Can't Stand Bush
Church Attendance, Values and Politics
On the Question of Boldness (Part Two)
On the Question of Boldness
Independent Voters Say: Give Me an Exit Strategy!
Fun Facts on Religion and Politics
Battleground States Update
Sorting Out the Latest Horse Race Data
So, How Did the President Do Last Night?
Bush's Approval Rating Now Net Negative on War on Terrorism!
Are the Odds Against Bush?
Cautionary Notes Department
More Swing State News and Views
Swing State News
Outbreak of Party Unity!
Gay Marriage: Not Such a Big Deal After All?
So, How Do We Get Out of This Place?
Kerry Strong Among Hispanics in the Southwest
A Question of Trust
New Polls Bring New Lows for Bush
Kerry Ahead in Ohio, Florida, Wisconsin and Oregon
Bush Rating on Iraq Below 40!
Take Two Columns and Call Me in the Morning
Pew Poll Has Kerry Ahead by 5, Bush Approval at 44
Kerry Ahead by Six
Pessimism on Iraq Deepens
More on Economic Pessimism
If the Economy's Doing So Well, Why Do Voters Think He's Doing Such a Lousy Job?
Yes, Bad News Does Hurt Bush (Part Deux)
Take a Deep Breath and Repeat After Me: It's a Referendum on the Incumbent
Could Kerry Win in a Landslide?
Does the Middle Class Know Its Interests?
Arizona Dreaming
Yes, Bad News Does Hurt Bush
Which Issues Help Bush?
Kerry Still Ahead in Battleground States
The Public and Abortion Rights
Is Bush's "Oratory" Keeping the American Public from Turning against the War?
Iraq and Terrorism
So, What's Really Happening in the Battleground States?
More on Yesterday's Polls
A Bush Bump?
So, Did Those Ads in the Battleground States Really Work?
Seniors 2:1 Unfavorable on Medicare Prescription Drugs Bill
College Students Catch Up to Young People in General
New Lows in Support for Bush Policies on Iraq and the War on Terror
Live by the Tax Issue, Die by the Tax Issue?
Republican Analysts Lower the Bar
All Trial Heats Are Not Created Equal
It's Official: Kerry's Ahead
It's Official: Rice's Testimony Didn't Work
Newer Democrats
Will Condi Rice's Testimony Stop the Bleeding?
Seniors Just Don't Like That New Medicare Presciption Drugs Law!
News Flash: New CBS News Poll Has Kerry Up by 5
Views on Bush's Economic Performance
Los Angeles Times Poll Confirms Bush Difficulties
Thinking About Offshoring
Stay Calm and Look Closely at the Data
Bush's Real Problem....and Kerry's Opportunity
Deconstructing David Brooks
Clarke Revelations Take Their Toll
Tax Cuts Vs. A Balanced Budget Vs. Increased Spending
It's Tempting to Just Run on the Economy and Health Care
Newsweek Misses the Story on Young Voters
Kerry Leads Bush in Zogby Poll
Youth, Seniors, Independents and Bush
Who Do You Trust on Iraq?
Race Tightens, But Bush Weaknesses Remain
The Medicare Prescription Drugs Bill: Another Miserable Failure
The Big Shift: How Public Opinion Has Changed on Iraq
No Wonder Bush Is Running as a War Leader
The Failure of the GOP's Hispanic Strategy
DR Welcomes The Gadflyer
What Is to Be Done (on Jobs)?
Economic Anxiety and Bush
Horse Race Update
Off to the (NBC News/Wall Street Journal) Races
The Red, the Blue and the Purple
Have Voters Been Brainwashed by the Democratic Nominating Contest or Do They Just Not Like Bush So Much Any More?
More on Young Voters' Democratic Leanings
Another Sign of Party Unity
Will Nader '04 Be More Like Nader '00 or Buchanan '00?
What Happened to the 50-50 Nation?
More Democrats More United
On to November
Independent Voters Desert Bush
Young Voters Desert Bush
Vulnerabilities of the Medicare Prescription Drugs Bill
Public Opinion on the No Child Left Behind Act
Bah! Who Needs Independents and Young People?
Deanism Without Dean?
Nader: The Only Thing to Fear Is Fear Itself
(New) Morning in America?
The Times They Are A'Changin'
Is Edwards More Electable Than Kerry?
NASCAR Dads, Meet the Real Swing Voters
Does Edwards Have a Chance?
Why Economic Growth May Not Be Enough
Name That Theme!
A Question of Trust: Part Deux
When All Else Fails, There's Always Gay Marriage
GOP Worried Sick about Health Care
Kerry (Yawn) Wins Again
A Question of Trust
Is Bush Getting Perhaps Just a Trifle Defensive?
Zounds! He's Gone Net Negative!
Once Again on the Southern Question
Let There Be Peace in the Valley
An Excellent Day for John "Mr. Electability" Kerry
Still More Even Worse News for Bush
More Bad News for Bush
Don't Forget About President Bush!
The Nonsouthern Strategy
Kerry and Getting Past the Threshhold
Kerry: The Threshhold Credibility Candidate!
Another Victory for Electability
More on Bush's State of the Union Thud
Was That a Bounce or a Thud?
Bashing No Child Left Behind: It's Not Just for Democrats Anymore!
Swing Voters Vs. New Voters
Independents' Views: Read 'Em and Weep, Karl
How's America Leaning?
A Victory for Electability?
More On That Disappearing Bounce
Bush's Approval Ratings: Even When They're Going Down, They're Going Up
The Saddam Capture Bounce: It's...It's Gone!
Temporary Technical Problem
The Emerging Democratic Majority in Paperback!
Let's Calm Down About Those Iowa Polls, OK?
Karl Rove's Nightmare?
The State of Public Opinion
Bush Democrats?
Bush Doing Terribly with Hispanics
Dean: The Good, the Bad and the Ugly
What Do Bush's Current Approval Ratings Mean?
Clark on the Move
Deep in the Heart of Taxes
Reality Sets In
Is the Bush Bounce Already Over?
How to Talk About Education
In the Ownership Society, We’re All Equal (But Some Are More Equal Than Others)
Public Still Worried Even with Saddam in the Slammer
Putting the Bush Bump in Perspective
Newer Democrats
How Big a Bump Will Bush Get from Saddam’s Capture?
Can Clark Stop Dean?
And Gallup Polls, They Just Keep Bouncin’, They Just Keep Bouncin’, Along
Seniors to Medicare Bill: Drop Dead!
Can Dean Move to the Center?
So, Do You Feel Safer Yet?
Once Again on the Youth Question
Will the Young Save Us?
Bush and the Political Center
Thinking Clearly About Population Shifts and Electoral Change
Has Clark Got His Mojo Working?
The Iraq Situation and the 2004 Vote
Fun With (Medicare) Math!
Fun With (Electoral) Math!
The Good News Is the Medicare Bill Passed, The Bad News Is the Medicare Bill Passed
If the Economy’s Improving, It’s Still Not Helping Bush Much
If Democrats Don’t Watch Out, They Might Start Agreeing with Each Other
Moderates Not Moderate on Bush
Will the Gay Marriage Issue Sink the Democrats?
Public Souring on Bush
A Non-Southern Strategy?
Plan A Falls Apart
Prescription Drugs Bill = Political Gold for GOP?
The Secret of Dean’s Success (and Its Potential Limits)
Youth: Still Progressive after All These Years?
Democrats + Independents Vs. Republicans = Trouble for Bush
Well, Maybe That Iraq Thing Didn’t Work Out, But the Tax Cuts Did
Public to Bush: You're Out of Touch!
How Clark Could Win the Nomination (continued)
How Clark Could Win the Nomination
Latest Evidence on Bush Vulnerability
You and Me and Bill Gates Makes Three
Send Lawyers, Gun Safety and Money
Et Tu, Newsweek?
Has Clark Found His Voice–Both Literally and Figuratively?
Death Knell for the Bush "Bounce"
Bush and Senior Voters
How Militant Are Democratic Primary Voters?
Is Clark Electable?
The So-Called Bush Bounce
It's the Education, Stupid
The Demographics of Clarkism
California Screamin'
Bush and Independent Voters
The State of Bush in the States
Will a Recovering Economy Save Bush?
Getcher Fresh Exit Polls Right Here!
News Flash! First Major Public Poll Has Bush Under 50!
Bush's Approval Rating Does the Limbo! (How Low Can It Go?)
Clark's Bad Day....and Clark's Good Poll
Can There Be Too Many Bad Bush Numbers?
Remember How Foreign Policy Was Supposed To Be Bush’s Strong Suit?
Can John Kerry Turn It Around?
Oh That Wes Clark Is So Dreamy!
The South? Who Needs ‘Em!
The Mystery of John Edwards
And Those Bad Bush Poll Numbers Just Keep on Coming!
Take Two Clark Bars and Call Me in the Morning?
Bush’s First Sub-50 Approval Rating!
Public Just Says No to Iraq Authorization
Bush’s Approval Rating Goes Galluping Away
The War on Terror, Two Years After
When Even Republicans and Republican Polls Say Bush Is in Trouble, He’s Definitely in Trouble
A Faction Fight by Any Other Name Would Smell as Sweet
Ronald Brownstein Lets W Have It
Clark Round-Up
You Know Bush Is in Trouble, When Even He Admits It
Vote to Re-Elect Bush? Well.....No Thanks
The Clark Debate Continues
The Dean Debate Continues and Continues
Listen Up Democrats: Time to Think Big!
Can Wesley Clark Win the Democratic Nomination? Should He?
Core Voters Vs. Swing Voters
Will Bush Definitely Be Re-elected?
Labor Day Reading
What Do You Call a President That Independent Voters Are Losing Faith In?
Dean Kicks It Up a Notch
The DLC Phones It In
See, This Is All Part of Kerry’s Plan
Bush Woes Continue
Bush's Approval Rating Hits the Low 50s
The Return of the (Shudder) Office Park Dads
The Case for Dean
The Case for Edwards
The Case for Gephardt
The Case for Kerry
The Case for Lieberman
The Case for Graham
Who Are You Gonna Believe: Me or The Actual Poll Numbers?
They're Shocked (Shocked!) That the Press Would Cover What They Said
Dean: The Big Question
Hey-Hey, Ho-Ho, Swing Voters Say Bush Has Gotta Go!
What If They Gave a Faction Fight and Nobody Came?
Tax Cuts Vs. Tax Reform
Deanapalooza!
The Case for Kerry
The Case Against the Greens
This Just In: Republican Area Leans Republican!
Bush Moving Downward
Things Are Looking Up for Democrats
Once Again on the Dean Question
Now That You Mention It, I’m Starting To Have My Doubts About This Bush Guy….
Is the Public Souring on President Bush?
Take Two Dean Articles and Call Me in the Morning
54 Percent Say: ”I Wouldn’t Trust Him Further Than I Could Throw Him”
The Bush Lies Watch Continues!
The Dean Debate Continues!
Bush's Other Big Problem
Is Dean Electable?
More Bad Bush Numbers!
Now If We Only Had a Candidate......
Is Kerry Finding His Voice?
Is Bush Losing His?
Dean May Have Found His Voice, But Does It Matter?
Independents' Day
DLC Vs. Populists, Round 1,287
Don't Get Mad, Get Even
Seniors to Bush: You Call This a Prescription Drug Benefit?
It's a Postindustrial Thing: You Wouldn't Understand
Geez, Now If We Only Had Some Issues
They're All With Me, Right?
Medicare Prescription Drugs: Democratic Debacle or Republican Albatross?
Will Ho-Ho Have the Last Laugh?
Turn Away from the Dark Side, Al and Bruce!
I Have a Dream (of Democratic Unity)
Let's Take Advantage of the Fact They May Be Cracking Up!
Jews and the Democratic Party: Still Together After All These Years
Medicare Prescription Drugs: Did the Democrats Blow It Again?
Are We Off On the Wrong Track?
How to Fight Bush's Tax Cuts
Two or Three Things I Know About Iraq
This Is the Democrats' Brain on Drugs
The Best Laid Plans of Mice and Men....
More on Hispanics
More on the WMDs
WMDs? We Don' Need No Stinkin' WMDs!
Hispanic Population Continues to Grow and So Do Democratic Chances
Now, Exactly How Did You Say You Were Going to Fix the Economy?
Can Youth Move Democratic?
Are Seniors Moving Republican?
Vive le Difference!
So, Was That Iraq Thing Really Worth It?
The political mysteries of the WMDs
For God's Sake, Will You Kids Quit Fighting?
A Day in Liberal-Land
Introducing Donkey Rising
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