NEW Pre-Election Issue!
About this Issue

This month and next we are featuring a number of articles related to the upcoming elections. For the current issue, we asked a number of polling experts to assess the likely impact of different factors on the election results. Specifically, we feature articles by Andrew Claster of Penn, Schoen and Berland Associates (on ethics and corruption); Jim Kessler of Third Way (on immigration); Celinda Lake and Daniel Gotoff of Lake Research Partners (on the economy and health care); Thomas Riehle of RT Strategies (on values); and Jeremy Rosner of Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (on national security). Next month these and other experts will revisit their election issues and evaluate whether events played out as expected.

Also in this issue, we feature a roundtable discussion of Thomas F. Schaller's Whistling Past Dixie. Schaller summarizes the demographic case for a Democratic strategy that makes the South its last priority. Responding to Schaller will be Steve Jarding, whose book Foxes in the Henhouse (with Mudcat Saunders) emphasizes the importance of performing well in the South, the Strategist's own Scott Winship, The American Prospect's Ezra Klein, and Paul Waldman of Media Matters. We will provide links to their pieces as responses come in.

As if that weren't enough, our pre-election issue also includes a piece by political consultant Robert Griendling, who tells how David Poisson scored an unlikely victory last year in the 32nd district of the Virginia General Assembly. His account offers lessons for other Democrats running in the New South.

And don't forget the conclusion to our roundtable discussion, A Progressive Battle Plan for National Security, in which The Truman Project authors respond to their discussants. David Rieff and Heather Hurlburt provide final remarks.

 
 
ARTICLES
Scandal and the 2006 Election
By Andrew Claster

The Foley scandal may be only the latest in a series afflicting the Republicans, but it could have a greater impact on the 2006 election than the Abramoff,   more >

 
 
Flanking the Immigration Wedge
By Jim Kessler
In any election, the key to winning comes down to this: In the final weeks of the race, are you generating news on the subject of your choosing or of your opponent's choosing?   more >
 
 
The Role of the Economy in the 2006 Elections
By Celinda Lake and Daniel Gotoff

Despite Americans' dissatisfaction with the national economy, the issue -- as a focus of political debate -- is taking a backseat in the 2006 elections, as it has for the past several cycles.   more >

 
 
The Purple-ing of the Democrats
By Thomas Riehle

The size of the Democratic majority in the 110th Congress will alter the shape of American politics for the remainder of President Bush's term,   more >

 
 
Winning the Third National Security Election
By Jeremy D. Rosner

This is shaping up to be the third consecutive election that will turn on national security.   more >

 
 
BONUS ARTICLE
Winning in the Emerging Suburbs
By Robert Griendling

The frozen smiles can sear the brain. They belong to Democratic officials, lobbyists and activists when you tell them you are running against a four-term incumbent Republican state house member who has decimated each of his opponents.   more >

 
 
ROUNDTABLES
The Demographic Case for Whistling Past Dixie
By Thomas Schaller

Before the 2000 recount had even finished, George W. Bush's pollster Matthew Dowd approached Bush adviser Karl Rove with some surprising news.   more >

Our lineup of discussants includes:

Scott Winship   Paul Waldman
Ezra Klein   

 
 
Messaging, Policies, and Principles
By Marc Grinberg, Rachel Kleinfeld, and Matthew Spence

...we've determined three main points we should address. The first is that our argument lacks policy substance. The second is that our messaging examples could be used to justify policy positions similar to those of the Bush Administration. The third is the need to define the values of the left.   more >

A continuation of the roundtable A Progressive Battle Plan for National Security.

Our lineup of discussants includes:

Heather Hurlburt   David Rieff